Adapting to Change: Supplementary Market Strategy From Now to Mid 2025

Detailed Breakdown and Focused Insights Month-by-Month

This newsletter supplements the previous one by incorporating new insights driven by evolving market conditions and fiscal policy signals. With Scott Bessent’s nomination as Treasury Secretary, potential fiscal cuts, deregulation, and reshoring efforts take center stage. These shifts emphasize industrial resilience, drive demand for industrial metals and solidify Bitcoin’s growing role as a long-term asset amid institutional adoption. We expand the discussion month by month, providing actionable steps aligned with these developments.

• December 2024: Year-end caution as speculation persists

• January 2025: Equity corrections and commodity opportunities

• February 2025: Stabilization begins, but leveraged sectors remain under pressure.

• March 2025: Temporary optimism.

• April 2025: Trade tensions heighten equity volatility.

• May 2025: Stabilization continues

Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Please consult with a licensed financial advisor for personalized guidance.

December 2024: Closing the Year with Caution

Year-end speculation persists, but fiscal uncertainty clouds longer-term equity upside. Energy markets stabilize amid fiscal and trade shifts.

• Gold: Hold existing positions. Accumulate lightly on dips, anticipating geopolitical and fiscal pressures in early 2025.

• Bitcoin: Maintain current holdings. Stay patient for likely January volatility to present better buying opportunities.

• Stocks: Reduce speculative tech and exposure to sectors facing fiscal cuts (e.g., healthcare, consumer discretionary).

• Inverse ETFs/Options:

  • Initiate S&P 500 puts (Feb expiration) to hedge against early 2025 corrections.

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January 2025: Bond Market Volatility Peaks

Treasury policies under new leadership heighten market uncertainty. Bond market distress leads to sharp corrections in equities.

• Gold: Maintain positions, expecting rallies fueled by bond instability.